s

The Payments Landscape in 2015

CTO Forum

Ron Lin / @RonRLin

Outline

  • Look back at 2014
  • Apple Pay
  • EMV and plastic cards
  • Digital wallets
  • Peer-to-peer finance
  • Data is king
  • Security is queen
  • Questions

"Just had a sesh with someone important. Bitcoin is all the rage. Why aren't we accepting bitcoin?"

--Boss

"How do you make our app accept Apple Pay? I want that in the next release!"

--Boss

Where payments happen

  • Physical retail
  • Online
  • App stores and in-app purchases
  • P2P payments

More commerce is happening on the web...

...and more people are walking around with computers in their pockets.

More transactions are going digital.

☹ Checks have declined from 46% to 15%!

♡ Debit card usage has doubled.

♔ Visa and Mastercard dominate digital payments.

* Source: 2013 Federal Reserve Payments Study

Online Payments

✓ Braintree

✓ Stripe

✓ WePay

✓ Amazon

✓ Authorize.net

Offline Payments

✓ Square

✓ Intuit

✓ Paypal

... many more

Ease of integration vs. Costs

2.9% + $0.30 per transaction

Braintree can handle Paypal

Stripe is testing Bitcoin support

Loss of convenience ==> lower costs

Accepting cryptocurrencies

Pros Cons
✓ More acceptance channels ☒ High cost of integration
✓ Potential PR boon ☒ Brand risk
☒ Low adoption

$50M of Bitcoin transactions processed per day

The Problem

Cost

Fraud

Security

Complexity

Convenience

User Experience

Fees are foisted on merchants to reward consumers.

Fees are declining.

Consumers only use it because they are paid to.

Might an alternative emerge?

Merchant networks are expensive

Visa

MasterCard

Amex

Discover

Square

Dwolla

LevelUp

Incumbents are resisting change.

Consumers or Merchants are the prize to be won.

Innovation in Payments

Where will it come from?

... and why?

✓ Apple

✓ Government

Snuffed Innovation

  • Merchants
  • The Network
  • Issuing Banks
  • Consumer

Incumbents

Traditional Competition

Apple Pay

Pay at retail with a mobile phone over NFC

Supported by 11 banks so far

Disabled by two large retail chains

In cooperation with Visa and Mastercard

Apple has 1 billion card accounts on file

Tokenization

Abstraction for payment card data

Advantages

The goal is to reduce the scope of PCI … but card issuers don’t like this.

Top of Wallet

Issuers lose power

Erodes the value of the network “middlemen”

Tokenization Dilemma

If tokenization services stay at the “network” layer, then processors risk being marginalized. Concerns about being locked into a tokenization provider

Further reading

Tokenization White Paper from PCI Council

EMV is Coming!

Europay-MasterCard-Visa

Alternative to magnetic stripe technology

Dynamic content rather than static magnetic stripes

There is a shift in the fraud liability

Mandate to comply by October 2015

Apple Pay and EMV

Since merchants must adopt EMV, many assume that NFC and contact-less terminations will become pervasive as merchants replace their systems to comply with 2015 mandate.

...but do customers care?

Digital Wallets

  • LevelUp
  • Square
  • Google
  • Paypal
  • Venmo

... but do customers care?

Small change

Customers prefer cash for small transactions.

* Source: FirstData

Data Prize

Verizon is tracking unencrypted browser behavior

Acxiom is the world's largest processor of consumer data

Check out AboutTheData.com

Gigya

Epsilon

DataLogix

AppNexus, Invite Media and MediaMath

Fintech

  • Final
  • Acorns
  • LevelUp
  • Coin
  • Venmo
  • Moven

Good to Know

"How Dwolla Works", Fast Company.

"Study on Payments in 2013", Federal Reserve.

"The Digital Payments Transformation", Accenture.

THANKS

Ron Lin / @RonRLin / obironkenobi.com